americas

🇧🇷 1. BRAZIL HEADS TO LULA–BOLSONARO RUNOFF

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will contest a presidential runoff on 25 October. Bolsonaro took approximately 47% of the first-round vote on 4 October, ahead of Lula's 45%, setting up a closely contested campaign.
Source: Reuters · 4 October 2026 · Edited & presented by GSR Analytix.

🇺🇸 2. US HIRING SLOWS SHARPLY IN SEPTEMBER

US nonfarm payrolls increased by 29,000 in September, below the 90,000 forecast in a Reuters poll. Unemployment rose to 4.2% from 4.1% as more people entered the workforce, while annual wage growth eased to 3.0%.
Source: Reuters / US Labor Department · 2 October 2026 · Edited & presented by GSR Analytix.

🇺🇸 3. OCTOBER FED HIKE EXPECTATIONS RETREAT

Markets priced a 20.5% probability of an October Federal Reserve rate increase on 7 October, down from roughly 51% a week earlier. Expectations for further tightening remained strong, with an 84.5% probability of a December hike.
Source: Reuters / CME FedWatch · 7 October 2026 · Edited & presented by GSR Analytix.

🇺🇸 4. WALL STREET ENDS WEEK HIGHER

The S&P 500 gained 0.6% to 7,811.54 on 9 October, while the Dow rose 0.8% and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.6%. All three finished the week higher, despite continuing bond-market volatility and a 10-year Treasury yield around 5.24%.
Source: Associated Press · 9 October 2026 · Edited & presented by GSR Analytix.

🇨🇴 5. COLOMBIA RAISES BENCHMARK RATE TO 12.25%

Colombia's central bank increased its policy rate by 25 basis points to 12.25% on 30 September. Four board members supported the increase, two favoured holding rates steady and one sought a larger 50-basis-point rise.
Source: Banco de la República · 30 September 2026 · Edited & presented by GSR Analytix.

🇧🇴 6. IMF APPROVES $1.9 BILLION BOLIVIA PROGRAMME

The IMF approved a three-year Extended Fund Facility arrangement worth approximately $1.9 billion for Bolivia on 2 October. Approval permits an immediate disbursement of about $214 million, with subsequent payments dependent on programme reviews.
Source: IMF · 2 October 2026 · Edited & presented by GSR Analytix.

🇨🇦 7. CANADA LOSES 68,300 JOBS IN SEPTEMBER

Canada unexpectedly shed 68,300 jobs in September following a 41,700 decline in August. Unemployment edged up to 6.5%, while manufacturing lost 12,700 positions. The latest decline erased the employment gains recorded earlier this year.
Source: Reuters / Statistics Canada · 9 October 2026 · Edited & presented by GSR Analytix.

🇲🇽 8. BANXICO HOLDS RATE, ADJUSTS GUIDANCE

Mexico's central bank unanimously kept its benchmark rate at 6.50% on 24 September. However, it removed wording explicitly signalling that borrowing costs would remain unchanged, leaving future decisions more open as policymakers assess the inflation outlook.
Source: Reuters · 24 September 2026 · Edited & presented by GSR Analytix.

🇦🇷 9. ARGENTINA'S POVERTY RATE RISES TO 32.3%

Poverty affected 32.3% of people in Argentina's 31 surveyed urban agglomerations during the first half of 2026, up from 28.2% in the previous six months. Extreme poverty reached 7.5%, marking a reversal of the recent downward trend.
Source: INDEC / Associated Press · 24 September 2026 · Edited & presented by GSR Analytix.

🇬🇾 10. GUYANA'S STABROEK BLOCK PASSES BILLION-BARREL MILESTONE

Cumulative oil production from Guyana's Stabroek block has reached one billion barrels, ExxonMobil reported. Its four producing developments have installed capacity exceeding 900,000 barrels per day, while the Uaru project is expected to begin production by the end of 2026.
Source: ExxonMobil · 28 September 2026 · Edited & presented by GSR Analytix.